Monday, February 8, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 090049
SWODY1
SPC AC 090047

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0647 PM CST MON FEB 08 2010

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN TX INTO SRN LA...

TSTMS HAVE EVOLVED INTO A QLCS THIS EVENING ALONG SEWD-MOVING COLD
FRONT WITH MOST INTENSE SEGMENT OF SYSTEM LOCATED NEAR AND TO THE NE
OF HOU AS OF 0030Z. INSPECTION OF 00Z LCH AND CRP SOUNDINGS
SUGGESTS THAT WRN PART OF QLCS MAY BE SURFACE-BASED WITH SYSTEM
BECOMING PROGRESSIVELY MORE ELEVATED AND DE-COUPLED FROM BOUNDARY
LAYER WITH EWD EXTENT. WHILE SOME SLIGHT MOISTENING OF LOW-LEVEL
AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF MCS OVERNIGHT ACROSS SRN
LA...DIURNAL COOLING OF BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD INHIBIT SYSTEM FROM
BECOMING SURFACE-BASED. AS SUCH...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER
WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW...DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR WHICH WILL REMAIN FOCUSED ALONG ERN FLANK OF MCS.

..MEAD.. 02/09/2010

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