SWODY1
SPC AC 110046
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 PM CST WED FEB 10 2010
VALID 110100Z - 111200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE UPPER AIR PATTERN IS CHARACTERIZED MAINLY BY CYCLONE
MOVING OFFSHORE MID-ATLANTIC COASTAL REGION...AND SRN-STREAM LOW
MOVING ESEWD ACROSS NERN SONORA. SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTAINING LATTER
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING ESEWD OVER NWRN MEX AND ERN
AZ...REACHING WRN NM AND VICINITY CHIHUAHUA/SONORA BORDER BY END OF
PERIOD. AT SFC...LARGE/CONTINENTAL ANTICYCLONE IN WAKE OF ATLANTIC
SYSTEM WILL KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER STABLE ACROSS CONUS E OF ROCKIES.
SFC TROUGHING -- WITH TWO OR THREE WEAK/EMBEDDED LOWS -- WILL
PERSIST FROM CENTRAL/SRN NM SWD INTO NRN MEX...THEN SEWD TO
E-CENTRAL MEX.
...SWRN CONUS...
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WELL NE AND E OF UPPER LOW...THROUGH REMAINDER
PERIOD...WILL BE RELATED TO LOW-LEVEL WAA AND AT LEAST MRGL
PACIFIC-ORIGIN MOISTURE IN LOW-MIDDLE LEVELS. SUFFICIENTLY STEEP
LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WERE EVIDENT AS FAR NE AS ABQ...PER 00Z
RAOB...THOUGH ACCELERATING DIABATIC SFC COOLING SHOULD REMOVE ANY
REMAINING MLCAPE QUICKLY DURING NEXT 1-2 HOURS. WITH PROXIMITY TO
CYCLONE CENTER ALOFT...PROGRESSIVE FIELD OF LARGE-SCALE DPVA/ASCENT
AND RELATED MIDLEVEL COOLING MAY SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS OVERNIGHT INVOF MEX BORDER.
..EDWARDS.. 02/11/2010
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