Thursday, February 25, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 250514
SWODY1
SPC AC 250513

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1113 PM CST WED FEB 24 2010

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN QUITE LIMITED ACROSS THE CONUS THROUGH
THURSDAY AS MULTIPLE FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL INTRUSIONS PREVENT MEANINGFUL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
RETURN. INTENSE DEEPENING OF SFC CYCLONE OVER SRN NEW ENGLAND WILL
CERTAINLY CONTRIBUTE TO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION...HOWEVER ELEVATED
LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO WEAK TO WARRANT ANY
SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. ELSEWHERE...LAPSE
RATES WILL STEEPEN ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS WHICH MAY ENHANCE
ELEVATED CONVECTIVE THREAT WITHIN STRENGTHENING WARM ADVECTION
REGIME...HOWEVER ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN TOO SHALLOW AND
INSTABILITY-STARVED TO WARRANT A THREAT FOR LIGHTNING.

..DARROW.. 02/25/2010

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