Sunday, February 7, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 080044
SWODY1
SPC AC 080043

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0643 PM CST SUN FEB 07 2010

VALID 080100Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...TX...

CURRENT FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK.

OBSERVED 30-40 KT SLY LLJ FROM DEEP S TX INTO THE CNTRL PART OF THE
STATE IS FORECAST TO FURTHER INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS LOW-LEVEL MASS
FIELD RESPONDS TO APPROACH OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM THE SRN
ROCKIES. 00Z BRO AND DRT SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT THIS STRENGTHENING
LOW-LEVEL FLOW HAS CONTRIBUTED TO A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE
QUALITY BENEATH EML SINCE 12Z.

HEIGHT FALLS/DYNAMIC FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGH
SHOULD SUFFICIENTLY COOL EML OVERNIGHT SUCH THAT CLUSTERS OF
ELEVATED TSTMS APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG AXIS OF ENHANCED
MOISTURE TRANSPORT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLJ. GIVEN THE EXPECTED
STEEPENING OF LAPSE RATES AND INCREASE IN VERTICAL SHEAR...POTENTIAL
WILL EXIST FOR LONGER-LIVED/STRONGER UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF SOME
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AFTER 08/06Z.

..MEAD.. 02/08/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: