Wednesday, March 24, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 250053
SWODY1
SPC AC 250051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CDT WED MAR 24 2010

VALID 250100Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

UPR LOW HAS MADE A TURN EAST THIS EVENING AND WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS
THE RED RVR VLY OVERNIGHT. ASSOCIATED SFC LOW WILL TRACK TOWARD THE
OZARKS BY 12Z AS THE TRAILING CDFNT SWEEPS TO THE SABINE RVR VLY AND
THE TX GULF COAST.

TSTMS THAT INITIATED OVER SRN OK TO CNTRL TX HAVE EVOLVED LINEARLY
AS STRONGER ASCENT WITH THE UPR LOW BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD THE WARM
SECTOR. VSB SATL IMAGERY AND SFC ANALYSIS SUGGEST THAT THE TSTMS
ARE CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE MOST BUOYANT AIR MASS ACROSS THE
REGION AND SHOULD NOT INCREASE APPRECIABLY THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT.

STORMS WILL REMAIN THE STRONGEST ALONG SRN PORTION OF THE LINE
ACROSS CNTRL/ERN TX WHERE SLIGHTLY MORE HIGHER-QUALITY LLVL THETA-E
WILL EXIST. HERE...ISOLD CELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LINE MAY ACHIEVE
BRIEF BOWING CHARACTERISTICS WITH A LOW PROBABILITY FOR DMGG WIND
GUSTS/HAIL.

..RACY.. 03/25/2010

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