Monday, March 1, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0154

ACUS11 KWNS 020318
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020318
FLZ000-ALZ000-020415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0154
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0918 PM CST MON MAR 01 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 020318Z - 020415Z

ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE...SUPPORTED BY STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING...IS
MOVING EAST AT ROUGHLY 35KT ACROSS ESCAMBIA INTO SANTA ROSA COUNTY.
THIS CONVECTION HAS PRODUCED NEAR-SEVERE WIND GUSTS DESPITE MEAGER
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE/INSTABILITY...PRIMARILY DUE TO
AFOREMENTIONED LARGE SCALE SUPPORT. FOR THIS REASON IS APPEARS
SQUALL LINE WILL PROGRESS DOWNSTREAM IN AN ORGANIZED
FASHION...LIKELY PRODUCING STRONG TO NEAR-SEVERE WIND GUSTS WITHIN
FAIRLY COOL LOW LEVEL AIRMASS. AT THIS TIME DO NOT ANTICIPATE
ENOUGH STRENGTHENING TO WARRANT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

..DARROW.. 03/02/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON 30898747 30688571 30028547 29298785 30278771 30898747

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