MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0215

ACUS11 KWNS 260153
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260153
FLZ000-260330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0215
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0853 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 260153Z - 260330Z

A THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
CNTRL COAST OF WRN FL THIS EVENING. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN TOO MARGINAL TO WARRANT WW ISSUANCE.

A NEARLY CONTINUOUS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR OCALA TO ABOUT
50 MILES NORTH OF TAMPA BAY EXTENDING OFFSHORE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
INLAND OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS. ALTHOUGH VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY
IS PRESENT ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA...MODEL FORECASTS QUICKLY
INCREASE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AS A JET NEAR 850 MB MOVES INTO WRN FL THIS
EVENING. THIS INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD TAKE PLACE OVER THE
NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS POSSIBLY RESULTING IN A TEMPORARY INTENSIFICATION
OF THE LINE. ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THE
THREAT CONCENTRATED AROUND THE TAMPA BAY AREA. ANY POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG WIND GUSTS WOULD REMAIN MARGINAL DUE TO THE LACK OF
INSTABILITY.

..BROYLES.. 03/26/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...

LAT...LON 28598180 28318156 27888131 27488129 27308131 27028156
26978186 27038227 27248244 27698268 28058276 28578271
28618240 28678200 28598180

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