Saturday, March 27, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0218

ACUS11 KWNS 280224
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280224
TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-280330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0218
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0924 PM CDT SAT MAR 27 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME ERN AR...WRN TN...NWRN MS AND NERN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 36...

VALID 280224Z - 280330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 36
CONTINUES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 36 IS SET TO EXPIRE AT 03Z.

BAND OF TSTMS HAS TRENDED MORE LINEAR SINCE 00Z AS OUTFLOW FROM
STORMS COALESCE. NRN END OF THE LINE HAS BEEN DECREASING IN
INTENSITY AS STORMS BEGIN TO OUTPACE THE INSTABILITY AXIS. FARTHER
TO THE S...WEAK LOW-LEVEL THETA-E AXIS EXISTS FROM ABOUT THE WRN
SUBURBS OF MEMPHIS SWWD INTO NERN LA. STORMS APPROACHING THE
MEMPHIS AREA/NWRN MS SHOULD PEAK IN INTENSITY AS THEY CROSS THE MS
RVR...THEN WEAKEN AS THEY ENCOUNTER DEW POINTS IN THE MID 40S.
OTHERWISE...STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS SERN AR AND NRN LA WILL LIKELY
STRUGGLE TO ORGANIZE AS THE STRONGER DCVA PASSES OFF INTO THE
MID-SOUTH/OH VLY AND AT LEAST A WEAK CAP CONTINUES AROUND 650 MB
/PER 00Z SHV SOUNDING/.

WHILE AN ISOLD DMGG WIND GUST OR MARGINALLY SVR HAIL REPORT COULD
OCCUR FROM THE MEMPHIS AREA SWD INTO EXTREME NWRN MS AND NERN
LA...WIDESPREAD SVR WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. AS SUCH...A NEW WW
IS NOT LIKELY DOWNSTREAM OF WATCH 36.

..RACY.. 03/28/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

LAT...LON 32609298 34529129 36019054 36418886 35288871 33298986
31779215 31649300 32609298

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