Saturday, April 10, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101940
SWODY1
SPC AC 101938

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0238 PM CDT SAT APR 10 2010

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

THE GENERAL TSTM LINE HAS BEEN MODIFIED TO REFLECT ONGOING MCS OVER
THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO
DAY ONE FORECAST.

..MEAD.. 04/10/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1057 AM CDT SAT APR 10 2010/

SURPRISINGLY ACTIVE ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE HOU ARA ATTM
APPEARS TO BE TIED TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND WEAK INSTABILITY AHEAD
OF MID/UPR LEVEL SRN BRANCH TROUGH NOW CROSSING S TX.

TSTM THREAT WILL SPREAD EWD VICINITY UPR TX/SWRN LA COAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY DEVELOP FURTHER OFFSHORE WHERE
INSTABILITY...WHILE STILL WEAK...SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT GREATER THAN
ALONG THE TX/LA COAST.

WILL CONTINUE A LOW THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SRN OR/NRN CA EVEN THOUGH AVAILABLE PW/S ARE GENERALLY
UNDER .5 INCHES. THE STEEP LAPSE RATES...SOME DAYTIME HEATING AND
ASCENT AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING THE CENTRAL PAC
COAST LATER TODAY SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW HIGH BASED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER AND E OF THE SRN OR/NRN CA MTNS.

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