Saturday, April 17, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 171208
SWODY1
SPC AC 171206

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0706 AM CDT SAT APR 17 2010

VALID 171300Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN PLAINS...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW TODAY WITH
SEASONABLY COOL/STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAILING OVER A LARGE PART OF
THE CONUS. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN FAIRLY
CONCENTRATED AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING SRN STREAM SYSTEM NOW SHIFTING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OK/TX...PARTICULARLY OVER SRN TX INVOF RICHER
GULF MOISTURE. COMBINATION OF MID 60S+ F SURFACE DEW POINTS AND
COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /AOB -12C AT H5/ COULD SUPPORT A FEW
STRONGER CORES AND POSSIBLE HAIL FROM THE RIO GRANDE EWD TOWARDS THE
COASTAL BEND REGION OF TX INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

...ROCKIES INTO NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...
WIDELY SCATTERED/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP WITHIN AREA OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE PERSISTING ACROSS
THE ROCKIES INTO PORTIONS OF THE PAC NW...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN...ALTHOUGH WEAK INSTABILITY WILL INHIBIT STRONGER UPDRAFTS.

..EVANS/STOPPKOTTE.. 04/17/2010

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