SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020207
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-020330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0231
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0907 PM CDT THU APR 01 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL KS AND WESTERN/CENTRAL OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 020207Z - 020330Z
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KS AND WESTERN/INTO CENTRAL OK. IF
INCREASING CONVECTIVE TRENDS CONTINUE...A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOON.
MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STEADILY DEVELOP
NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS OK INTO KS AHEAD OF A MERGING DRY LINE/COLD
FRONT...CURRENTLY FROM WEST CENTRAL KS INTO THE FAR EASTERN OK/TX
PANHANDLES. RECENT IR SATELLITE/RADAR TRENDS REFLECT SOME
AGITATION/POTENTIAL INCIPIENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT FROM TREGO COUNTY KS
TO THE DODGE CITY VICINITY TO BEAVER COUNTY OK. IF AN UPSWING IN
CONVECTIVE TRENDS CONTINUE...A WATCH WOULD BE LIKELY AS STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR/STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ALOFT WOULD SUPPORT SOME
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF HAIL/PERHAPS EVEN A TORNADO.
..GUYER.. 04/02/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...AMA...
LAT...LON 39089971 39499841 38309745 35249789 35089941 36920034
39089971
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