Friday, April 30, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0416

ACUS11 KWNS 300422
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300421
IAZ000-300515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0416
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 PM CDT THU APR 29 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SWRN-CENTRAL IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 109...

VALID 300421Z - 300515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 109
CONTINUES.

THE SWRN HALF OF WW 109 APPEARS TO HAVE THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SHOWED
INSTABILITY WEAKENS WITH NEWD EXTENT FROM FAR SERN NEB/SWRN IA...
GIVEN MUCAPE VALUES AOB 1000 J/KG EXTENDING FROM SWRN-NERN IA.
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL REMAIN MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED
STORMS. HOWEVER...THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT SHOULD EXIST WITH
STORMS MOVING NEWD INTO THE SWRN EXTENT OF WW 109...AND THEN TENDING
TO WEAKEN AS THEY TRACK FARTHER NEWD INTO CENTRAL-NERN IA. REGIONAL
RADARS SHOWED THIS TREND IN PROGRESS AT THIS TIME.

..PETERS.. 04/30/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...OAX...

LAT...LON 41879545 43319341 42909279 41819334 40789483 41879545

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