SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070358
KSZ000-NEZ000-070530-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0490
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1058 PM CDT THU MAY 06 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...NW AND NRN KS...FAR SRN NEB
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 141...
VALID 070358Z - 070530Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 141
CONTINUES.
THE SEVERE THREAT ACROSS NRN KS AND FAR SRN NEB WILL LIKELY PERSIST
FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL EXIST WITH
PERSISTENT LINE-SEGMENTS ESPECIALLY IN THE NERN PART OF WATCH 141
WHERE A TORNADO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER CELLS WITH THIS THREAT EXTENDING WWD ACROSS
MUCH OF NW KS.
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT IN CNTRL KS WITH A
WELL-DEFINED MOIST AXIS EXTENDING FROM SE KS NWWD INTO NCNTRL KS
WHERE NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS ARE ONGOING. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SUGGEST
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS LOCATED ALONG THE WARM FRONT NWD TO THE NEB
STATE-LINE WHERE MUCAPE VALUES ARE ESTIMATED AT 1000 TO 2000 J/KG.
IN ADDITION...REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS SHOW STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN THE 70 TO 75 KT
RANGE WHICH WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR BOWING LINE-SEGMENTS AND
SUPERCELLS. THE MORE DOMINANT SUPERCELLS STORMS MAY CONTAIN VERY
LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH THIS POTENTIAL MOVING
EWD ACROSS NE KS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
..BROYLES.. 05/07/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 39540133 39110135 39070152 38680151 38719907 38279905
38249730 38089711 38089684 38529687 38589693 38839697
38889655 39009648 39019644 39169635 39199660 39409677
39549661 39539680 39999679 40009735 40359744 40300204
39520198 39540133
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment