SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130353
MOZ000-KSZ000-130530-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0535
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1053 PM CDT WED MAY 12 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN KS AND WESTERN MO
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 157...
VALID 130353Z - 130530Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 157 CONTINUES.
TORNADO WATCH 157 CONTINUES UNTIL 05Z. AN ISOLATED QLCS-TYPE TORNADO
RISK CONTINUES...WITH POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS/SOME SEVERE HAIL
AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO CONTINUING. GIVEN THE SCHEDULED 05Z
EXPIRATION OF WATCH 157...CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF A REPLACEMENT SEVERE TSTM WATCH.
MAINLY ELEVATED STORMS CONTINUE WELL NORTH OF TORNADO WATCH 157
ACROSS NORTHERN MO...WHILE UPSTREAM NEAR-SURFACE BASED STORMS
CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE INTO A DECIDEDLY QUASI-LINEAR ORGANIZATION
ACROSS EASTERN KS W/SW OF THE KC METRO AREA AS OF 0345Z. THIS
INCLUDES AN APPARENT MESO-VORTEX ACROSS JEFFERSON/LEAVENWORTH
COUNTIES AS OF 0345Z. WHILE LARGELY PARALLEL-QLCS/FRONT TYPE FLOW
DOES NOT FAVOR A PARTICULARLY STRONG EASTWARD SURGE OF THE QLCS...AN
INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED SURFACE COLD POOL/EXISTING RELATIVELY FAST
STORM MOTIONS /40+ KT/ MAY YIELD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS
SOME HAIL/BRIEF TORNADO INTO THE KC METRO AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.
..GUYER.. 05/13/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...
LAT...LON 38759547 39609526 39669410 39589316 39079256 38649296
38549357 38559486 38759547
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