Friday, May 21, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0644

ACUS11 KWNS 211335
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211335
ALZ000-MSZ000-211500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0644
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0835 AM CDT FRI MAY 21 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST MS/NORTH CENTRAL AL

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 211335Z - 211500Z

NARROW BAND OF STORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD E/ESEWD FROM NERN
MS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AL THROUGH MID/LATE MORNING. IN
ADDITION...AN ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT IS POSSIBLE
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS FROM AROUND BHM TO ANB.

COMBINATION OF VERY MOIST WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IMPINGING ALONG
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS RESULTED IN REGENERATION OF
CONVECTION FROM WEST OF CBM TO WEST BHM. THE LEADING STORM IN THIS
BAND...IN WALKER AND APPROACHING JEFFERSON COUNTY AL...HAS A WELL
DEFINED MID LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS LAYING DOWN A BOUNDARY FOR
CONVECTION TO REGENERATE BEHIND IT. DESPITE STABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER...LEADING STORM IS MOVING ESEWD AT 25-30 KT AND CERTAINLY HAS
A LOCALIZED POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND MARGINALLY SEVERE WINDS.
HOWEVER...GREATEST SEVERE POTENTIAL ATTM IS THE TRAINING OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SAME GENERAL AREAS. THE AIR MASS IS QUITE
MOIST...PW VALUES NEAR 1.75 INCHES...AND STRONG THETA ADVECTION
BETWEEN 900-700 MB SHOULD MAINTAIN STORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

..IMY.. 05/21/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 33398740 33508820 33578879 33808905 34068882 34038734
34048659 33838568 33328564 33118613 33248673 33398740

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