Saturday, June 5, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0814

ACUS11 KWNS 051736
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051735
MDZ000-WVZ000-PAZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-051900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0814
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IND...OH...WRN PA...NRN WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 051735Z - 051900Z

REMNANT MVC FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION IS SHEARING EWD ACROSS NRN
IL/IND. ALTHOUGH LEFT OVER CONVECTIVE DEBRIS HAS SLOWED BOUNDARY
LAYER HEATING DOWNSTREAM OVER THE OH VALLEY...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE DUE IN PART TO
DIURNAL HEATING. CONTINUED SFC HEATING WILL ONLY CONTRIBUTE TO
FURTHER DESTABILIZATION WITHIN STRONG WLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. AT
THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE MODE WILL BE MULTI-CELL
CLUSTERS AND LINE SEGMENTS...HOWEVER ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS ERN OH WHERE MORE FAVORABLE TURNING
EXISTS IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE. LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH MUCH
OF THIS ACTIVITY...WHILE DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY WITH
ORGANIZING SQUALL LINE AS IT EVOLVES NEAR THE IND/OH BORDER.

..DARROW.. 06/05/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...

LAT...LON 40748448 41347917 39297879 39088242 38938675 40748448

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