Wednesday, June 16, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0968

ACUS11 KWNS 161739
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161739
NYZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-161915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0968
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OH/THE WRN HALF OF PA/WRN NY/PARTS OF WV AND
THE MD PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 161739Z - 161915Z

INCREASING CONVECTION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS WILL LEAD TO
AN INCREASE IN SEVERE THREAT -- AND POSSIBLE NEED FOR WW ISSUANCE.

LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS REVEAL SLOWLY INCREASING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...AS MODEST DESTABILIZATION IS
ONGOING IN CONJUNCTION WITH DAYTIME HEATING. WHILE LOW CLOUDS
PERSIST E OF THE MOUNTAINS...ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION W OF THE
RIDGES WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED CONVECTIVE INCREASE/THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT.

AREA VWPS SHOW MODERATELY STRONG/UNIDIRECTIONAL WSWLY FLOW THROUGH
THE LOWER TO MID TROPOSPHERE...WHICH WILL SUPPORT POTENTIALLY
ROTATING/FAST-MOVING STORMS. ALONG WITH SOME THREAT FOR MARGINAL
HAIL...GREATER SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGING WINDS --
PARTICULARLY IF STORMS CAN EVENTUALLY GROW INTO SMALL-SCALE
LINES/BOWS. GIVEN THIS POTENTIAL...WW MAY BE REQUIRED.

..GOSS.. 06/16/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BGM...BUF...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

LAT...LON 43347667 42287650 41317754 39937770 39157894 38698118
38628296 39548348 40618169 41718094 42547888 43247904
43387836 43347667

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