Sunday, June 27, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1148

ACUS11 KWNS 272019
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272018
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-272115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1148
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL - SWRN PORTIONS OF MO / SERN KS / NERN OK /
EXTREME NWRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 272018Z - 272115Z

TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ACROSS CNTRL MO EXTENDING SWWD INTO NERN OK
AND MOVE EWD. AS THE STORMS MATURE...A FEW MAY BE CAPABLE OF STRONG
TO POSSIBLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS.

A MOIST PREFRONTAL AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION IS CONTINUING TO
DESTABILIZE THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS WARM TO NEAR 90 DEG F--YIELDING
MLCAPES IN EXCESS OF 2500 J/KG. N OF I-70...MODERATE MID LEVEL FLOW
/30 KTS H5/ IS SKIRTING THE AREA AHEAD OF A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHING THE REGION FROM THE NW AND WILL PROBABLY CONFINE
ORGANIZED STORMS /MULTICELL AND TRANSIENT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES/ TO N
OF THIS LINE. THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. LOCATIONS FARTHER SW OVER SWRN MO INTO NERN
OK...A WEAKER FLOW ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT MULTICELLULAR CLUSTERS
SUPPORTIVE OF PERHAPS A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS.

..SMITH.. 06/27/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...

LAT...LON 37859240 36309416 36049503 36269575 36769607 37829489
39049418 40069304 39989187 39199124 37859240

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