Friday, July 23, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1435

ACUS11 KWNS 232219
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232219
IAZ000-MOZ000-232345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1435
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0519 PM CDT FRI JUL 23 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 232219Z - 232345Z

SEVERE RISK APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ACROSS NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WHILE THE EXTENT OF THE SEVERE RISK IS
SOMEWHAT QUESTIONABLE...A CONTINUANCE OF INCREASING DEEP CONVECTIVE
TRENDS COULD PROMPT A WATCH ISSUANCE.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TOWERING CU ACROSS FAR
NORTH-CENTRAL MO...ALONG/SOUTH OF A ROUGHLY WEST-EAST ZONE OF
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN IA. IT SEEMS PROBABLE
THAT ADDITIONAL/ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR. ALTHOUGH
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE FAIRLY WARM /-5 TO -6C AT 500
MB/...CONSIDERABLE BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE/STRONG BUOYANCY WILL
SUPPORT STRONG UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT. REGIONAL PROFILERS/WSR-88D
DERIVED WIND DATA APPEAR TO RESIDUALLY REFLECT ENHANCED MID LEVEL
WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS IA IN THE WAKE OF THE SUBTLE MID LEVEL IMPULSE
NOW ENTERING NORTHERN IL...AND WITH RELATIVELY STRONG LOW LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW/ADEQUATE VEERING...SOME SURFACE BASED SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS/PERHAPS A TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE.

..GUYER.. 07/23/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...

LAT...LON 40919493 41559298 41109141 39929195 40149436 40919493

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