Saturday, July 31, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1517

ACUS11 KWNS 312238
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312238
MNZ000-NDZ000-MTZ000-010015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1517
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0538 PM CDT SAT JUL 31 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN ND AND VICINITY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 312238Z - 010015Z

STORMS DEVELOPING NEAR AND N OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WILL
CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY ESEWD. WITH ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF
ORGANIZED/SUPERCELL STORMS...WW MAY BE NEEDED.

LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS STORMS INCREASING OVER THE PAST HOUR ACROSS
SRN SASKATCHEWAN AND SWRN/S CENTRAL MANITOBA...WITH SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES/SPLITS EVIDENT. WITH MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS
EXTENDING INTO NRN ND...STORMS SHOULD PERSIST AS THEY SHIFT SEWD
INTO THIS REGION. ALONG WITH AMPLE INSTABILITY...MID-LEVEL WLYS IN
EXCESS OF 35 TO 40 KT ARE YIELDING DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR
UPDRAFT ROTATION. THOUGH WEAKER FLOW IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE
SUGGESTS LITTLE TORNADO THREAT...LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS STORMS SPREAD INTO NRN ND.

..GOSS.. 07/31/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...GGW...

LAT...LON 48270428 48920467 49090060 49099772 48959633 48179604
47199832 47580311 48270428

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