SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092137
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-092230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1630
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0437 PM CDT MON AUG 09 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...UPSTATE NY INTO NEW ENGLAND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 092137Z - 092230Z
THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF DMGG WINDS...HAIL...AND
PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS INCREASING ACROSS PORTIONS OF UPSTATE
NY INTO NEW ENGLAND. AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
LITTLE CLOUD COVER TODAY HAS LED TO AMPLE DESTABILIZATION...WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA. MOIST AIR
MASS CHARACTERIZED BY 60S DEW POINTS AND PWAT NEAR 1.5 TO 1.75 INCH
HAS FOSTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN RESPONSE TO ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW SEEN ON WV IMAGERY
MOVING INTO THE ERN GREAT LAKES. MODEST MID LEVEL FLOW /50 KT PER
VAD WIND PROFILE/ AND UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT
OCCASIONAL ROTATION INCLUDING SPLITTING SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DMGG
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
..HURLBUT.. 08/09/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...
LAT...LON 42527293 43167566 44377563 45017494 44997153 45277129
45216999 44556943 43906964 43187067 42577142 42527293
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