Sunday, August 15, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1696

ACUS11 KWNS 152303
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152303
ALZ000-MSZ000-160000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1696
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0603 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NE MS/NW AL INTO SW MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 152303Z - 160000Z

MERGING OUTFLOWS WITH MULTICELL CLUSTERS WILL PERSIST INTO THIS
EVENING WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR OCCASIONAL STRONG DOWNBURSTS.

VISIBLE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM NE
MS INTO NW AL...MOVING SWD/SWWD. OUTFLOW WITH THESE STORMS WILL
LIKELY MERGE AND SUPPORT ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT TO THE S/SW OF
THE ONGOING STORMS...SUPPORTED BY MODERATE INSTABILITY/DCAPE IN AN
ENVIRONMENT NOT OVERTURNED BY PRIOR CONVECTION. A SIMILAR REGIME
EXISTS ACROSS S CENTRAL/SW MS. IN BOTH CASES...THE POTENTIAL FOR
WET/HYBRID MICROBURSTS AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD PERSIST
THROUGH ABOUT 00-01Z...AFTER WHICH THE THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH WITH
CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING AND SURFACE DIABATIC COOLING.

..THOMPSON.. 08/15/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 33578753 33338754 33278793 33328822 33388867 33628905
33878938 34208938 34308910 34188847 34408802 34418781
34298751 34098745 33788761 33578753

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