Monday, August 16, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1706

ACUS11 KWNS 162345
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162344
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-170045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1706
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0644 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY...NEB PANHANDLE AND ERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 622...

VALID 162344Z - 170045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 622
CONTINUES.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED THREE PRIMARY CLUSTERS OF TSTMS WITHIN
WW 622...1/ OVER NERN CO...2/ OVER SERN WY...AND 3/ A SMALLER
CLUSTER IN NEB PANHANDLE. CORRIDOR OF STRONGEST INSTABILITY
EXTENDED FROM SERN WY THROUGH NERN CO TO NWRN KS...WITH EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR 40-50 KT FROM SERN WY INTO NEB...AND AROUND 35 KT IN NERN
CO. MEANWHILE...OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SHOWED AN INCREASE IN SBCINH
ALONG AND E OF THE CO FRONT RANGE...WITH SURFACE BASED CAPE STILL
AVAILABLE ALONG THE STRONGEST INSTABILITY AXIS. GIVEN THE AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY AND STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR...THE AFOREMENTIONED
CLUSTERS OF TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO POSE A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY EVENING.

AIR MASS FARTHER S OVER SERN CO IS MORE STABLE AND THUS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO LIMIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONGER STORMS ALONG THE PART
OF WW 622 /1-2 TIERS OF COUNTIES/.

..PETERS.. 08/16/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON 39160208 38770350 38670433 38720532 40300540 41190561
42100604 43000606 43000595 42470414 42370203 40860194
39160208

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