SWODY2
SPC AC 291714
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1214 PM CDT WED SEP 29 2010
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN NC NWD INTO THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE UPPER LOW OVER NE AL WILL BEGIN TO EJECT NNE INTO THE CAROLINAS
ON THURSDAY AS ADDITIONAL JET ENERGY DIGS SEWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES.
A SURFACE LOW ATTENDANT WITH THE SYSTEM WILL TRAVEL NWD ALONG A
BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM ERN NC INTO SCNTRL PA BY EARLY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND UPSTATE NY BY EVENING.
TO THE W...UPPER RIDGE WILL AGGRANDIZE NWD THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION AS A WEAK UPPER SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SPIN OFF THE SRN CA
COAST.
...ERN NC NWD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION...
STRONG BELT OF LOW/MID-LEVEL SLY FLOW /H85 OF 65+KT/ ALONG ERN PARTS
OF THE UPPER LOW/TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE NWD FROM ERN NC INTO NY/NEW
ENGLAND DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. VERY STRONG 0-1KM SHEAR WILL
RESULT...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TRACK OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW.
SFC DEW POINTS IN THE LWR/MID 70S WILL FLOOD INTO THE COASTAL PLAINS
OF VA NWD INTO SCNTRL/SERN PA AND NJ. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A
LOW CAPE/HIGH SHEAR SITUATION WITH POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES AND/OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH RAPIDLY MOVING
CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY MORNING INTO THE MID-AFTERNOON FROM
ERN NC/TIDEWATER VA NWD INTO SCNTRL/SERN PA AND SRN/CNTRL NJ.
..RACY.. 09/29/2010
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