SWODY3
SPC AC 260716
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0216 AM CDT SUN SEP 26 2010
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LOCATION OF A LARGE ERN
U.S. TROUGH WITH LOW CENTERED NEAR OH AT 12Z TUE. A STRONG MID LEVEL
JET MAX ON THE ORDER OF 75 KTS WILL EJECT NNEWD ACROSS PA/NY DURING
THE DAY...WITH BROAD SSWLY FLOW EXTENDING SWD ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL STRETCH FROM THE ERN
CAROLINAS INTO ERN PA/NJ EARLY TUE MORNING...MOVING SLOWLY E TOWARD
THE COAST BY 00Z. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A MOIST AIR MASS WILL EXIST
WITH DEWPOINTS NEAR 70 F.
...MID ATLANTIC COAST...
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL BE ONGOING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT FROM COASTAL SC NWD TO A WARM FRONT FROM ERN PA INTO SRN NEW
ENGLAND. A 30-40 KT SLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS WILL
MID LEVEL FLOW OF 50-60 KT. GIVEN THESE SHEAR PROFILES...AND
MARGINAL INSTABILITY...A FEW STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF SEVERE WIND
GUSTS.
..JEWELL.. 09/26/2010
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