Tuesday, September 14, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1824

ACUS11 KWNS 140445
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140445
KSZ000-NEZ000-140545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1824
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 PM CDT MON SEP 13 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL/SERN NEB...NCNTRL/CNTRL/NERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 659...

VALID 140445Z - 140545Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 659
CONTINUES.

...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS/HAIL RISKS CONTINUE...

WHILE NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE...SSWLY LLJ HAS RECENTLY INCREASED TO 30
KTS ON VWPS/PROFILERS IN SRN/CNTRL KS. RESULTANT MODEST MOISTURE
TRANSPORT CONTINUES ALONG THE BACKSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS WITH
UPDRAFT GENERATION POINTS BETWEEN KRSL AND HASTINGS. FORWARD FLANKS
OF THE STORMS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT...ESPECIALLY
BEFORE REACHING TOPEKA...LAWRENCE AND KANSAS CITY AS EFFECTIVE
INFLOW TO THE STORMS BEGINS TO ENTRAIN PARCELS WITH STRONGER
INHIBITION.

A STRONGER POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS/HAIL
WILL EXIST WEST OF HWY 77 NEAR KBIE/HEBRON NEB AND FROM
SALINA/HUTCHISON W INTO NCNTRL KS THROUGH AT LEAST 06Z.
HERE...SLIGHTLY STRONGER BUOYANCY WILL EXIST AMIDST THE CORE OF THE
LLJ WITH A TENDENCY FOR BACKBUILDING TO OCCUR FOR SEVERAL MORE
HOURS. LEADING STORMS WILL PROBABLY WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE TOWARD
EMPORIA IN A FEW HOURS.

..RACY.. 09/14/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON 39379969 40959945 39819547 38609771 39379969

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