Thursday, September 30, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1910

ACUS11 KWNS 301907
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301907 COR
NCZ000-VAZ000-302100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1910
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0207 PM CDT THU SEP 30 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 301907Z - 302100Z

CORRECTED TO CHANGE ILN TO ILM IN THE SECOND PARAGRAPH

ROTATING CONVECTIVE CELLS CONTINUE MOVING NWWD ACROSS THE GULF
STREAM TOWARD/ONTO THE NC COAST.

LATEST RADAR LOOP REVEALS A COUPLE OF AREAS OF MESOSCALE LOW
PRESSURE -- ONE SE OF ILM /WILMINGTON NC/ AND THE OTHER S OF MHX
/MOREHEAD CITY NC/...BOTH MOVING NNWWD TOWARD THE NC COAST.
MEANWHILE...STORM-SCALE ROTATION IS ALSO EVIDENT WITHIN CELLULAR
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY E OF THESE TWO LARGER-SCALE CIRCULATIONS...WHICH
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE CAPE. WHILE OVERALL TORNADO POTENTIAL
REMAINS LOW AS MEAGER INSTABILITY -- CONFIRMED BY LACK OF
APPRECIABLE LIGHTNING ACTIVITY -- HINDERS STRONGER CELLS.
NONETHELESS...WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR NEAR 40 KT PER LATEST KMHX WSR-88D
VWP SUPPORTING THE STORM-SCALE UPDRAFT ROTATION...AN ISOLATED/BRIEF
TORNADO REMAINS POSSIBLE. WHILE THREAT APPEARS TO LOW TO WARRANT
CONSIDERATION OF WW ISSUANCE ATTM...WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
AREA.

..GOSS.. 09/30/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...ILM...

LAT...LON 33417766 33937810 35217754 36587652 36447560 35487530
34337618 33417766

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: