Sunday, October 17, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 171947
SWODY1
SPC AC 171945

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0245 PM CDT SUN OCT 17 2010

VALID 172000Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A WELL DEFINED UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE
CNTRL/SRN CA COAST WITH SCATTERED LIGHTNING STRIKES EXTENDING FROM
OFFSHORE INTO THE SRN GREAT BASIN. RELATIVELY WEAK INSTABILITY
PROFILES WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR NON-SEVERE CONVECTION.

..JEWELL.. 10/17/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1032 AM CDT SUN OCT 17 2010/

COLD UPPER LOW DEVELOPS JUST OFF CENTRAL CA COAST THIS FORECAST
PERIOD AND DROPS SWD TO W OF MRY BY 12Z MON. FOR TODAY SWLY FLOW
CONTAINING CONSIDERABLE MID/UPR LEVEL MOISTURE AND MINIMAL
INSTABILITY WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SWRN STATES. GREATEST POTENTIAL
FOR MORE THAN JUST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TIED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...PARTICULARLY THE SRN SIERRAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

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