Friday, October 15, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151238
SWODY1
SPC AC 151237

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0737 AM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010

VALID 151300Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...AZ...
A WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTHWARD AND AFFECT PORTIONS OF AZ TODAY. ENHANCED LARGE SCALE
FORCING FOR ASCENT...STEEPENING LAPSE RATES...AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL PROMOTE A FEW
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT IS UNLIKELY.

...NEW ENGLAND...
ELSEWHERE...A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS
OF NEW ENGLAND AS NOR EASTER LIFTS INTO ME. HOWEVER...AREAL
COVERAGE OF LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW TEN PERCENT
THRESHOLD.

..HART/ROGERS.. 10/15/2010

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