Friday, October 15, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160038
SWODY1
SPC AC 160036

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0736 PM CDT FRI OCT 15 2010

VALID 160100Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE UPPER LOW OVER NEW ENGLAND IS PROGGED TO MOVE LITTLE...AND
LIKEWISE FOR THE ASSOCIATED/DEEP SURFACE LOW OVER SRN ME. WHILE A
FEW ADDITIONAL/SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR OVER THE NERN
U.S. OVERNIGHT...MOST OF THE DEEPER CONVECTION WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE.

MEANWHILE...A MUCH WEAKER UPPER LOW SHOULD LINGER OVER FAR NWRN
MEXICO JUST S OF THE MEXICO/AZ BORDER. MINIMAL INSTABILITY ACROSS
SRN AZ -- IN THE NERN QUADRANT OF THE LOW -- HAS FUELED SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES LIKELY TO
LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HOWEVER...WITH THE BOUNDARY LAYER
STABILIZING WITH TIME...ANY LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE
TO DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..GOSS.. 10/16/2010

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