Tuesday, October 19, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 200056
SWODY1
SPC AC 200055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT TUE OCT 19 2010

VALID 200100Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN CA...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY OVER THE PAST
COUPLE OF HOURS...AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES SHIFTING SLOWLY ESEWD
INTO NRN BAJA CA/SRN CA -- SPREADING COOL MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES
ATOP A DIURNALLY-HEATED BOUNDARY LAYER.

WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND MODERATE ESELY MID-LEVEL FLOW
RESULTING IN A SUFFICIENT CAPE/SHEAR COMBINATION FOR A FEW STRONGER
CELLS...WILL MAINTAIN LOW-PROBABILITY SEVERE POTENTIAL ACROSS PARTS
OF SRN CA. A COUPLE OF MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL EVENTS HAVE OCCURRED
OVER THE PAST HOUR...WITH LIMITED THREAT POTENTIALLY LINGERING FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE CONVECTION WEAKENS.

..GOSS.. 10/20/2010

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