Sunday, October 31, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 311239
SWODY1
SPC AC 311238

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 AM CDT SUN OCT 31 2010

VALID 311300Z - 011200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
ONE SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL WEAKEN WHILE
ENCOUNTERING A CONFLUENT FLOW REGIME...WHILE ANOTHER TROUGH OVER THE
PAC NW BEGINS TO AMPLIFY SEWD OVER CO/NM BY EARLY MONDAY IN RESPONSE
TO UPSTREAM HEIGHT RISES. AT THE SURFACE...A REMNANT LEE CYCLONE
WILL DEVELOP SLOWLY SWD ACROSS WRN OK TOWARD NW TX...AND THIS WILL
MAINTAIN A WEAK RETURN FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE NW GULF COAST.
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INLAND ACROSS THE NW GULF COAST AND
CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION BY EARLY MONDAY.
HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AS A RESULT OF
NEGLIGIBLE FORCING FOR ASCENT IN THE AREA OF DESTABILIZATION.

..THOMPSON/STOPPKOTTE.. 10/31/2010

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