Wednesday, October 20, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 210038
SWODY1
SPC AC 210036

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0736 PM CDT WED OCT 20 2010

VALID 210100Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM WEST TX INTO SRN NM...

...SRN ROCKIES/WEST TX...

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG WRN EDGE OF
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS FROM NRN MEXICO...ABOUT 100 MI SOUTH OF
ELP...NWD ACROSS WEST TX INTO SRN NM. THIS ACTIVITY IS EVOLVING
WITHIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND RADAR DATA
CERTAINLY SUPPORTS THIS WITH SEVERAL LONGER LIVED ROTATING UPDRAFTS.
LATEST WDSS MESH DATA ALSO SUGGESTS LARGE HAIL IN EXCESS OF GOLF
BALLS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY. WITH LARGE SCALE
SUPPORT EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST INTO THIS REGION IT APPEARS
THE CONVECTIVE THREAT WILL LIKELY PERSIST WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WEST TX INTO SERN NM.

..DARROW.. 10/21/2010

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