SWOD48
SPC AC 090724
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CDT SAT OCT 09 2010
VALID 121200Z - 171200Z
...DISCUSSION...
MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT UPPER LOW CIRCULATION WILL CONTINUE SEWD
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY /DAY 4/ TUESDAY AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT
BECOMES INCREASINGLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SEWD AMPLIFYING NRN
STREAM TROUGH. WHILE SOME SEVERE THREAT MAY EXIST FROM ERN TX INTO A
PORTION OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY TUESDAY...CONFIDENCE IN A HIGHER
COVERAGE OR HIGHER END EVENT IS NOT SUFFICIENT TO INTRODUCE A RISK
AREA AT THIS TIME.
BEYOND DAY 4...SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL DECREASE DRAMATICALLY AS NRN
BRANCH TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE ERN STATES AND USHERS IN CP HIGH
PRESSURE THAT WILL RESULT IN OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE GULF.
..DIAL.. 10/09/2010
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