SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042134
AZZ000-CAZ000-042330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1923
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0434 PM CDT MON OCT 04 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN CA INTO SWRN AZ
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 042134Z - 042330Z
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. WHILE STORMS
CURRENTLY APPEAR UNORGANIZED...SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY INCREASE BY 00Z.
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW.
WIDESPREAD STORMS CURRENTLY BETWEEN YUMA AND PHOENIX WERE LOCATED IN
AN AIR MASS GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED SEVERE
DEVELOPMENT. WHILE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES /9-10 C PER KM/ ARE
SUPPORTIVE OF GUSTY WINDS...THE KIWA VWP INDICATED MARGINAL DEEP
LAYER SHEAR AROUND 20-25 KT. HOWEVER...AS UPPER LEVEL WAVE
CONTINUES TO PUSH ONSHORE SOUTHERN CA...DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR
WILL INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN CA DESERTS INTO THE LOWER COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY. INCREASING SHEAR COUPLED WITH MODEST MLCAPE VALUES
/1000-1500 J/KG PER 21Z MESOANALYSIS/ MAY ALLOW STORMS TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED INTO A LINE SEGMENT WITH TIME. IF THIS OCCURS A
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.
..STOPPKOTTE.. 10/04/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...SGX...
LAT...LON 31991327 32431475 32651476 32591598 33311673 33971653
34011427 34331324 35551317 35451246 35141192 34471159
33241165 32901176 31991327
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment