Thursday, October 7, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1937

ACUS11 KWNS 071918
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071918
COZ000-UTZ000-072115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1937
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0218 PM CDT THU OCT 07 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN UT AND EXTREME WRN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 071918Z - 072115Z

...RISK FOR SVR TSTMS WITH HAIL AND HIGH WINDS INCREASING...

TSTMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER 20-21Z WITH BRIEF SUPERCELLS
AND BOWING LINE SEGMENTS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS.
PRIMARY AREA OF INTEREST WILL BE E OF THE CNTRL/SWRN UT MOUNTAINS
ENE INTO FAR WRN CO THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A PV-ANOMALY RAPIDLY MOVING ENE INTO
SCNTRL UT/NCNTRL AZ. DOWNSTREAM CUMULIFORM FIELD HAS BECOME
ESPECIALLY AGITATED ALONG/E OF THE SRN UT MOUNTAINS WHERE AIR MASS
HAS BEEN HEATING STEADILY AMIDST PRECIPITABLE WATERS AOA HALF OF AN
INCH. AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT/COOLING CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE
IMPROVING QUALITY WARM SECTOR...STORMS SHOULD BECOME SUSTAINED.
GIVEN VERY STRONG...GENERALLY SLY UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR...MORE ROBUST
UPDRAFTS MAY BRIEFLY BECOME SUPERCELLULAR WITH QUICK EVOLUTION INTO
FAST-MOVING LINE SEGMENTS. STORMS TODAY WILL BE COMPARATIVELY
HIGHER-BASED THAT THOSE THAT OCCURRED YESTERDAY...SO WHILE THE
TORNADO THREAT WILL BE NON-ZERO...PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS WILL
PROBABLY SIDE MORE WITH HIGH WIND/HAIL.

..RACY.. 10/07/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GJT...SLC...

LAT...LON 37100989 37181061 37401167 37931168 38991120 40031108
40581050 40660977 40500893 40350838 39700829 38890832
38130844 37620889 37100989

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: