Sunday, October 10, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1944

ACUS11 KWNS 110340
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110340
OKZ000-TXZ000-110515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1944
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 PM CDT SUN OCT 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SWRN OK...WRN N TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 697...

VALID 110340Z - 110515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 697
CONTINUES.

...WANING LARGE HAIL PROBABILITIES THROUGH MIDNIGHT...

COLD FRONT...AUGMENTED BY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW...CONTINUES TO SURGE
SEWD THROUGH CNTRL/SWRN OK AND WRN N TX AT 0330Z. CONSIDERABLE
AMOUNT OF ELEVATED STORMS HAVE EVOLVED ATOP A DEEPENING FRONTAL
INVERSION OVER CNTRL OK WITH COMPARATIVELY MORE SURFACE-BASED
ACTIVITY IN SRN OK/WRN N TX AMIDST STRONGER INSTABILITY.

STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE ACROSS CNTRL/SRN OK AND WRN N TX
FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS TONIGHT. AS THE NUMBER OF STORMS INCREASE
AND COMPETITION FOR LEFT-OVER WANING INSTABILITY COMMENCES...THE
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL WILL DECREASE. THUS...A NEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL OR GUSTY WINDS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...HOWEVER...AT LEAST THROUGH
MIDNIGHT.

..RACY.. 10/11/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

LAT...LON 35419963 36279801 35979704 34329711 34059822 33539922
33729979 34689986 35419963

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