Wednesday, October 27, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2016

ACUS11 KWNS 271030
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271029
GAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-271130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2016
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0529 AM CDT WED OCT 27 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...E CENTRAL MS/PARTS OF NRN AND CENTRAL AL/PORTIONS
OF NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 271029Z - 271130Z

MODEST INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE INTENSITY ACROSS CENTRAL MS/CENTRAL AL
-- AND ASSOCIATED UPTICK IN ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL -- MAY
WARRANT NEW TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE.

LATEST WV LOOP SHOWS A VERY SUBTLE VORT MAX NOW CROSSING SERN
MS/SWRN AL...WITH AN ASSOCIATED ENHANCEMENT OF CONVECTION ONGOING
INVOF THE SURFACE FRONT. WITH A MOIST/MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN
PLACE ACROSS THIS AREA ALONG WITH SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR
ORGANIZED/ROTATING UPDRAFTS....THE BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENT REMAINS
SUPPORTIVE OF NON-ZERO TORNADO THREAT. THUS...GIVEN THE
ONGOING/LOCAL INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE INTENSITY...TORNADO THREAT IS
LIKEWISE INCREASING LOCALLY -- WHICH MAY REQUIRE NEW WW ISSUANCE.

..GOSS.. 10/27/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...JAN...

LAT...LON 32338927 32668986 33238948 34188620 35188420 34278314
33588400 32328770 32338927

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