Friday, November 5, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051952
SWODY1
SPC AC 051950

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 PM CDT FRI NOV 05 2010

VALID 052000Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS/CAROLINAS PIEDMONT...
NO CHANGES TO PRIOR OUTLOOK. ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE MAINLY THROUGH SUNSET AMID ONGOING SCATTERED
CELLULAR/SHOWERY CONVECTION.

..GUYER.. 11/05/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 AM CDT FRI NOV 05 2010/

...PORTIONS OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS/PIEDMONT...
DESPITE MEAGER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...PRESENCE OF COLD MID-LEVEL
TEMPERATURES /-30 DEG C AT 500 MB/ ALONG WITH CONTINUED SURFACE
HEATING WILL MAINTAIN STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. COUPLED WITH WEAK FORCING FOR ASCENT PROVIDED BY VORT
MAXIMA ROTATING WITHIN LARGER-SCALE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...SETUP
SHOULD PROMOTE SCATTERED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY
MAY SUFFICIENTLY DEEPEN TO YIELD CHARGE SEPARATION FOR TSTMS...BUT
OVERALL TSTM COVERAGE WILL LIKELY REMAIN SPARSE.

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

No comments: