SWODY1
SPC AC 091950
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0150 PM CST TUE NOV 09 2010
VALID 092000Z - 101200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
NO CHANGES TO PRIOR FORECAST. ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED ALONG THE CO FRONT RANGE...BUT THE POTENTIAL OF 10 PERCENT
COVERAGE OF LIGHTNING REMAINS TOO LOW TO WARRANT A THUNDER AREA AT
THIS TIME.
..HART.. 11/09/2010
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0957 AM CST TUE NOV 09 2010/
...PACIFIC NW COAST...
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING THE BRITISH COLUMBIA/PACIFIC NW
COAST AND ASSOCIATED FORCED ASCENT IN EXIT REGION OF 100 KT JET
STREAK AT 500 MB WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. AS MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN WITH 500 MB
TEMPS FALLING TO AROUND -28 DEG C...A FEW TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...CO ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS...
A FEW AREAS OF RELATIVELY SHALLOW CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED TO
ACCOMPANY A SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY CROSSING THE CNTRL/SRN
ROCKIES. LIMITED BUOYANCY SUGGESTS THE THREAT FOR LIGHTNING SHOULD
BE MINIMAL /AOB 10 PERCENT PROBABILITY/.
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