Monday, November 15, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160053
SWODY1
SPC AC 160052

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CST MON NOV 15 2010

VALID 160100Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES...

...GULF COAST STATES...
ONGOING SHOWERS/TSTMS AND A RAIN-REINFORCED BOUNDARY HAVE HINDERED
APPRECIABLE DESTABILIZATION AND THE INLAND PENETRATION OF A MARITIME
AIRMASS THROUGH EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES.
HOWEVER...A CONTINUED GRADUAL NORTHWARD RETREAT IS EXPECTED THE
REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF
LA/MS/AL...UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS VIA AN
AMPLIFYING/INCREASINGLY NEUTRAL TILT UPPER TROUGH OVER TX /AND
EVENTUALLY LA VICINITY EARLY TUESDAY/. AHEAD OF A SURFACE LOW WHICH
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS LA/MS...LOW LEVEL WINDS
FIELDS SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED
POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE AND/OR A TORNADO PROVIDED CONTINUED LOW
LEVEL MOISTENING INLAND AND AT LEAST MINIMAL NEAR-SURFACE BUOYANCY.

..GUYER.. 11/16/2010

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