SWODY1
SPC AC 141945
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 PM CST SUN NOV 14 2010
VALID 142000Z - 151200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE TOWARD THE END OF
THE PERIOD AS LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION INCREASES ACROSS THE WRN GULF
COAST REGION AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING UPPER TROUGH. WITH INSTABILITY
LIMITED AND STORMS TO REMAIN ELEVATED...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.
..GOSS.. 11/14/2010
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1010 AM CST SUN NOV 14 2010/
...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE SCALE TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL STATES...
DOWNSTREAM FROM A CLOSED HIGH OVER THE ERN PAC. INSTABILITY AND
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS
THROUGH THE PERIOD...ASIDE FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST TONIGHT. AN
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER NW MEXICO WILL PROGRESS EWD TO THE
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OVERNIGHT...AND THIS WILL INDUCE MOISTURE
RETURN AND A 20-30 KT SWLY LLJ FROM THE NW GULF OF MEXICO TO THE
LOWER MS VALLEY. WAA N/NE OF A WEAK SURFACE LOW ALONG A STALLED
FRONT JUST OFF THE TX COAST WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT MOISTENING AND
ASCENT FOR A RISK OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT FROM SE TX EWD
ACROSS LA INTO CENTRAL MS.
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