SWODY2
SPC AC 150532
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1132 PM CST SUN NOV 14 2010
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SRN AL/SW GA/FL PANHANDLE...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SRN PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE EWD
INTO THE MS VALLEY TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...A 30 TO 40 KT
LOW-LEVEL JET WILL BE IN PLACE ALONG THE COASTS OF MS...AL AND THE
FL PANHANDLE AT DAYBREAK ON TUESDAY WHERE THE MODELS FORECAST A
COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORMS SHOULD MOVE GRADUALLY EWD AS
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST WITH THE SRN END OF
THE COMPLEX HAVING ACCESS TO ABUNDANT MOISTURE WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN
THE UPPER 60S F AND PERHAPS MODERATE INSTABILITY. THIS THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT ALONG WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND 0-1 KM SHEAR
VALUES AROUND 30 KT EVIDENT ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS...SHOULD SUPPORT
STORM ROTATION. A MARGINAL TORNADO AND/OR WIND DAMAGE THREAT COULD
EXIST TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM SE AL AND SW GA SWD TO THE
COAST OF THE FL PANHANDLE WHERE THE MODELS SUGGEST THE COMBINATION
OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR IS LIKELY TO BE MAXIMIZED.
..BROYLES.. 11/15/2010
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