SWODY3
SPC AC 060631
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0131 AM CDT SAT NOV 06 2010
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE FURTHER AMPLIFICATION WITHIN A STRONG
BELT OF WESTERLIES...EXTENDING ACROSS THE MID LATITUDE PACIFIC INTO
THE WESTERN U.S...DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...A
SIGNIFICANT UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO EVOLVE ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...ROCKIES AND PLAINS. CONSIDERABLE VARIABILITY
EXISTS AMONG THE MODELS CONCERNING SHORT WAVE DEVELOPMENTS WITHIN
THIS FEATURE...WHICH WILL IMPACT HOW SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS PROCEEDS
ON MONDAY...WITHIN THE LEE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE PLAINS.
REGARDLESS...WHILE SLOW BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO MAY CONTINUE...MOST GUIDANCE INDICATES A SUBSTANTIVE INLAND
RETURN FLOW REMAINS UNLIKELY THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TUESDAY. AS A
RESULT...GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS EAST OF THE ROCKIES...AND ACROSS
MUCH OF THE NATION...ARE EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN LOW TO NEGLIGIBLE
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.
..KERR.. 11/06/2010
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