Thursday, December 30, 2010

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2151

ACUS11 KWNS 302343
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302343
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-310345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2151
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0543 PM CST THU DEC 30 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN SD/SERN ND/CNTRL AND NRN MN

CONCERNING...BLIZZARD

VALID 302343Z - 310345Z

AN ONGOING BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN
SLIGHTLY AND SHIFT NEWD INTO SRN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AS STRONG NLY WINDS REDUCE VISIBILITIES
IN BLOWING SNOW.

23Z WV IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE
SD/ND/MN BORDER SLOWLY LIFTING NEWD. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW OVER
S CNTRL MN IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT NEWD AS THIS OCCURS...WITH
OBSERVED WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS TO THE NE OF THE LOW SUPPORTING
THIS. THE MAIN BAND OF SNOW /NOW ORIENTED ROUGHLY OVER NERN MN SWWD
INTO SERN ND/NERN SD/ WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AND PROGRESS
NEWD INTO SRN ONTARIO.

A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH STRONG PRESSURE RISES NEAR 1
MB/HR HAS LED TO STRONG NLY WINDS...WITH RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
SHOWING GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...CREATING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN BLOWING
SNOW. THIS GRADIENT WILL RELAX SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT...THOUGH
STRONG/GUSTY WINDS CAN STILL BE ANTICIPATED.

..HURLBUT.. 12/30/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...BIS...

LAT...LON 45309692 45089837 45859818 47049694 47909512 48599366
48309206 47169330 45309692

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