SWODY2
SPC AC 020624
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 AM CST SUN JAN 02 2011
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
BOTH THE NAM AND GFS ARE REASONABLY CONSISTENT REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF WEST COAST UPPER TROUGH AS IT SAGS SEWD TOWARD SRN CA.
QUITE COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL OVERSPREAD THE MIDDLE CA
COAST DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD WHICH WILL STEEPEN LAPSE RATES AND
ENHANCE BUOYANCY NECESSARY FOR LOW TOPPED CONVECTION INVOF UPPER
LOW. FOR THIS REASON IT APPEARS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
WHERE MARINE BOUNDARY LAYER PROVIDES A BIT MORE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY
FOR DEEPER UPDRAFTS.
ELSEWHERE...WEAK WARM ADVECTION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX
TOWARD THE MIDDLE TX COAST. WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY SHOULD AID IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHALLOW CONVECTION AND A FEW SHOWERS LATE IN THE
PERIOD...BUT LIKELY NOT SUFFICIENT FOR LIGHTNING DISCHARGE.
..DARROW.. 01/02/2011
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