SWOD48
SPC AC 040918
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 AM CST TUE JAN 04 2011
VALID 071200Z - 121200Z
...DISCUSSION...
ERN PACIFIC UPPER LOW OFF THE CA/NRN BAJA COAST IS EXPECTED TO BE
FORCED EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND. THIS FEATURE WILL
EJECT AT A FAIRLY LOW LATITUDE WITH A MID LEVEL SPEED MAX POSSIBLY
TRANSLATING ENEWD ACROSS NRN MEXICO INTO FAR SOUTH TX AND THE NWRN
GOM. IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR HOW MUCH MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL
OVERSPREAD TX AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE. OTHERWISE DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND
FORCING WOULD SUGGEST AT LEAST A LOW POTENTIAL FOR A FEW ROBUST
THUNDERSTORMS. GIVEN THE THERMODYNAMIC UNCERTAINTIES WILL NOT
INTRODUCE SEVERE PROBS AT THIS TIME.
..DARROW.. 01/04/2011
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