SWODY1
SPC AC 101235
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 AM CST THU FEB 10 2011
VALID 101300Z - 111200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
LOW AMPLITUDE CYCLONIC FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S.
THROUGH FRI...DOWNSTREAM FROM SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE RIDGE OVER THE
PACIFIC NW. DISTURBANCE THAT CROSSED THE SRN PLNS YESTERDAY IS NOW
OVER THE TN VLY/SRN APPALACHIANS. THIS FEATURE SHOULD FURTHER
WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES E OFF THE S ATLANTIC CST LATER TODAY.
AT THE SFC...WEAK W-E FRONT NOW OVER CNTRL FL SHOULD SETTLE SLOWLY S
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE PENINSULA TODAY/TONIGHT...REACHING THE
FL STRAITS EARLY FRI.
...S FL...
A SEASONABLY MOIST MARITIME AIR MASS /WITH PW VALUES ABOVE 1.25
INCHES AND SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S F/ HAS OVERSPREAD S FL AHEAD OF
AFOREMENTIONED FRONT. FORCING FOR ASCENT ACROSS REGION WILL BE
WEAK...ALTHOUGH SATELLITE SUGGESTS THAT TAIL END OF POSITIVE TILT TN
VLY IMPULSE WILL HAVE A GLANCING INFLUENCE ON S FL THROUGH EARLY
AFTN. CONVERGENCE ALSO WILL BE WEAK. WHAT CONVERGENCE DOES DEVELOP
LIKELY WILL BE MAXIMIZED ON OR NEAR THE E CST JUST AHEAD OF FRONT.
GIVEN FAIRLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT AND PROSPECT FOR CONSIDERABLE SFC
HEATING /BY FEB STANDARDS/...IT APPEARS THAT THERE WILL EXIST AT
LEAST A LOW CHANCE FOR A FEW AFTN TSTMS OVER PARTS OF SE FL.
..CORFIDI/STOPPKOTTE.. 02/10/2011
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