Tuesday, February 22, 2011

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 221611
SWODY1
SPC AC 221609

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1009 AM CST TUE FEB 22 2011

VALID 221630Z - 231200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

STEEPENING LAPSE RATES WILL SPREAD SWD THRU THE PAC NW IN RESPONSE
TO DEEPENING COLD TROUGH OVER THE AREA. CONVECTIVE SHOWERS WILL BE
COMMON PARTICULARLY OVER AND W OF CASCADES GIVEN THE CONTINUED
ONSHORE FLOW HOWEVER THREAT FOR ANY LIGHTNING IS LOW GIVEN THE
SHALLOW NATURE OF THE ACTIVITY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL OF AN
ISOLATED STRIKE ALONG AND JUST OFFSHORE WA/NWRN OR COAST WHERE
INSTABILITY WILL BE A LITTLE GREATER AS WELL AS WITH AREAS OF
ENHANCED CONVERGENCE SUCH AS THE PSCZ IN NWRN WA.

ELSEWHERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

..HALES/STOPPKOTTE.. 02/22/2011

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