SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102126
NCZ000-VAZ000-102300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0221
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0326 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL NC THROUGH CNTRL VA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 49...
VALID 102126Z - 102300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 49
CONTINUES.
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND APPEARS TO BE ACROSS
N-CNTRL NC THROUGH CNTRL AND N-CNTRL VA NEXT COUPLE HOURS. IF
NECESSARY WW 49 CAN BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN AREA INTO NERN NC AND ERN
VA AS LINE ADVANCES NEWD.
STRONGER PRESSURE FALLS AND SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS UNDERWAY ACROSS
N-CNTRL VA IN RESPONSE TO STRONG AGEOSTROPHIC FORCING/DPVA WITHIN
NEWD EJECTING NEGATIVE TILTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH. CONVECTION HAS
RECENTLY INTENSIFIED ACROSS CNTRL VA AS STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE OVERTAKES MOIST AXIS. VWP DATA INDICATE STRONG SLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILES ALONG WITH 40-50 KT FLOW IN THE 0-1 KM
LAYER. EMBEDDED FAST MOVING BOWING SEGMENTS AND LEWP STRUCTURES
REMAIN POSSIBLE NEXT FEW HOURS MAINLY FROM NERN NC THROUGH CNTRL AND
N-CNTRL VA AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS NNEWD.
..DIAL.. 03/10/2011
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...
LAT...LON 36377796 37147831 38377832 38357750 37707717 36367716
36377796
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